Synchrony Financial (SYF)

Summary

  • Synchrony is a financial services company, partnering with retailers to provide credit cards and other consumer financing methods

  • They have built a powerful portfolio of receivables, diversified across many different retail industries

  • Fundamental highlights include strong return on equity and a discount valuation compared to its peers

  • Concerns include the highly cyclical nature of the financial and credit industry

 

Business Overview

Synchrony Financial is a financial services company, offering a wide array of consumer-facing products from banking, CDs, “pay-later” options and more. The focus of my research, and why I found them so compelling, is their credit card strategy. Synchrony underwrites credit cards (just like Visa, American Express, or Mastercard) but their strategy focuses on partnering with retailers to provide their store-specific cards. You know, the ones you always have to say no to at check-out.

Synchrony focuses on partnering with high-quality retailers. In doing so, they have a highly diversified portfolio of loans receivable: partners in furniture, automotive, health/wellness, lifestyle, and more. This allows them to tap into the success of other markets, and have a cushion when one is under-performing. Some of their partners across industries can be seen below.

Investment Thesis

Solid fundamentals include:

  • 8% YOY increase in loans receivable (US$102B)

  • 2% YOY increase in active accounts

  • 10% YOY increase in interest income

Even with these fundamentals and a year of positive price momentum, Synchrony is still at a discount to it’s peers.

  • P/E (GAAP, TTM) is 47% below sector median

  • PEG (GAAP, TTM) is 57% below sector median

Concerns:

Financials operate in a highly cyclical area. Macroeconomic headwinds could have a serious impact on future growth, leading to rising credit card delinquency rates- a trend we have seen in 2024. Creditors also face serious scrutiny from governments, facing regulations on fees and other important revenue drivers.

 
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